It’s 0500 on Monday 28th October, and the worst of the anticipated storm seems to have passed. The low pressure system that has been causing so much concern moved up the Bristol Channel from about midnight, and it is now centred over the East Midlands.
Sunday was a blustery day because of a low pressure system that passed to the north of Scotland. That brought us 6.8mm of rain and winds gusting to 28kts. As the system moved off to the east, the barometer here started to fall again at about 1800 – the first sign of the low approaching us from the south west.
A period of light winds from about 2100 was accompanied by continuous rain as the warm front associated with the low approached us. The front arrived here at 0100 bringing an increase in wind speeds to around 10-20kts – breezy but nothing exceptional. Temperatures rose to 16C as the warm sector passed through, and then at about 0415 the cold front arrived. This brought winds of about 24kts gusting to 37.4kts by 0430: but the wind was short-lived, and once the cold front had passed through the windspeed quickly fell back to 10-20kts.
At the time of writing, this system has brought us just over 11mm of rain but there will be more to come during the morning. The maximum gust of 37.4kts at 0422 is the highest so far this year, but it isn’t a record-breaker – we recorded 44kts in December 2008, and 40kts or more has been seen every year since then except for 2011. Our windiest spell was back on 10 March 2008, when windspeeds exceeded 20kts for several hours (and the barometer dropped to 959.4hPa – today’s minimum was 977.5hPa). Today’s high winds only lasted half an hour, so with luck any damage will be limited.
One final point – the rainfall total for October now stands at 126.8mm, and I see that two weeks ago I predicted that our monthly total would not reach the 116mm that we recorded in October 2012. I got that wrong! This month has been by far the wettest so far in 2013,and after a dry start our year-to-date total of 484.4mm is now well into the normal range.